The source that you have for the market doing over 20% as the returns that happen most frequently in a year in which markets are positive. That comes from the Ibbotson SBBI large cap index from 1925. The ratio over time is three and four. So out of four years in S&P, you're going to get one down and three up, right? But you could get three in a row down as we did 99, 2000, 2001.

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