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No Free Lunch with Interest Rates

The Dividend Cafe

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The Importance of Forward Guidance in Overly Accommodative Monetary Policy

The Fed is given forward guidance and market actors rationally acted on that guidance. Yet the Fed has pulled the rug and now you end up with instability in some of the banking system. It's the banking model predicated on that low rate environment that changed behavior. There may be some of those things to still kind of work through but those were really 2022 lessons. I think so far 2023 has been more about subpar borrowers. The quality of some of the loans and commercial real estate for example not as good.

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