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4min chapter
One Year of War in Ukraine
Net Assessment
Is a Long War Beneficial to the Russians, the Ukrainians or the United States?
The only way to convince the Ukrainians to stop fighting now would basically be to give them a clear and even more explicit commitment than they had before. I have very low confidence that the United States or the West will approve a real sort of normalization of economic relations with Russia, not so long as Vladimir Putin is in power. And I also think it's a Russia problem.
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