3min chapter

Forward Guidance cover image

The Recession Paradox | Alfonso Peccatiello

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

How to Evaluate the Credit Impulse and S&P 500 Forward Earnings

The reason why changes in bank reserves, changes in liquidity, do not correlate really well and predict well the variability of changes in the S&P 500 returns is very simple. Banks don't have appetite or mandate to buy equities in their high quality liquid books. In some jurisdiction, they do, but only under extremely rigorous assumption and only for a super small percentage of their liquidity buffer.

00:00

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode