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Lessons From The Asian Financial Crisis | Russell Napier

Forward Guidance

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The Importance of Valuation in the Emerging Markets

Markets are only fair value if terminal dividend growth rates are significantly higher than they are. All four markets of Malaysia, Indonesia, Philippines and Thailand have negative capital spreads. The cost of capital has risen so much that it's now higher than the return on that capital. So is that rising cost of capital that really led to that deterioration?

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