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046: Perry Kaufman discusses strategy development and the issues and mistakes traders make when creating robust trading strategies.

Better System Trader

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How to Analyze a Macro Trend Strategy?

Perry: If I'm looking for a macro trend strategy, and I'm testing the range 60 to 150 I don't care whether the moving average makes money or loses money At the five-day calculation period and chances are it's going to lose. He says most people look for the best performers and they they scan this matrix or table of results and They hone it on either the highest profit or the lowest risk Or the best risk reward to risk ratio The problem with that is that the best result is usually one that benefited from price shocks. Perry: You really Cannot expect The parameter that had the best result in the past to have the best result next time.

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