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How to Make Accurate Forecasts
Spencer: If I had to just use one source that's probably what I would use as well because they literally just have a track record. For anyone interested in improving your predictions we actually on clearthing.org you can use our calibration tool which we made in collaboration with Open Philanthropy project and you can literally train on thousands of predictions we have. Rob thanks so much for coming on the 80,000 hours podcast it was really fun yeah this has been a very entertaining conversation.