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The State of Play in Ukraine

Chain Reaction

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Russian Forces Aren't Keen to Prosecute the Fight

It's pretty clear russian military doesn't have forces, and for all sorts of reasons. They weren't successful in making major gains in the first seval weeks o his offensive. I suspect that's why garosmov showed up in the zoom to personally change the direction of this operation. And on the legistical side there, i think the story is probably better for them in terms of resourcing of the effort. The b t g numbers don't really tell you about the kind of a force. It's not clear what the situation is with moral it's quite possible russian forces are not keen to prosecute the fight or maybe not advancing because of of moral issues.

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