
Survivorship Bias, Base Rates, and Librarians
Idea to Startup
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The Top 1% of Podcasts Are Doing Great
In 2015, there were fewer than 50,000 podcasts. Today, there are over 850,000. If you're starting a podcast, you can reasonably expect to have around 100 people listen to it if you do a great job. Now you might make a top 1% podcast and get 3000 people downloading each week. But it's unlikely just looking at the numbers.
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