The Future of Yemen Is Bleak, and the Chances of a Peace Deal Are High

If a peace is reached, it will leave multiple fractures throughout society. Many of those trying to survive in economically wrecked communities have both weapons and battlefield experience. Perversely, therefore, it may be that the risks of conflict, contagion and with it, a resurgents of militant jihad, actually increase after a pieace deal is finally broken. Both alcide and islamic state remain active in yemen despite having been severely degraded since 20 17 by relentless drone strikes,. Their own internesine fighting experience suggests that extremists will coop local anger and reframe it within broader narratives of global jihad. An entire generation of dispossessed youth that has known only war, a catastrophic ch