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Should you become a charity entrepreneur? (with Joey Savoie)
Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg
The Importance of Probability in Decision Making
A lot of times people are reasoning as something like well even if I only have a probability p of having an impact when I multiply that through it's still incredible where p could be some sort of semi-made up number. So both I would construct the probability different but I would also say that fundamental argument isn't a great way of making decisions so it's kind of a broader claim. Five fully finished projects is a lot better than 10 half finished products and it's better to kind of set specific plan reevaluation points at key points in the future of which you then reevaluate and then switch to another project. You just need to remember which hat to wear and wear it at the right
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