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TTU142: The Contrarian ft. Roy Niederhoffer, President of R.G. Niederhoffer Capital Management

Top Traders Unplugged

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The Role of Bonds in Trend Following Returns

I was reminded about something that actually I struggled with a lot. And it was thanks to a paper you had written, because obviously, I'm a trend follower and longer term trend follower. Has did it surprise you how well trend following performed in a rising yield environment based on the research you had done? Well, there really been a couple of tests of that. The first one was, believe it or not, the fourth largest rally in rates was from March 10th of 20 to March 19th of 20. So, I would say I was completely and 100% wrong on that particular rally. Now, I don't know whether my theory is going to be true overall. Because what I

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