3min chapter

The Rational Reminder Podcast cover image

The Immortality of Bonds (EP.197)

The Rational Reminder Podcast

CHAPTER

Stock Returns - The Ninetieth Percentile

In the historyc global stock data from 19 hundred to 20 20, at the ninetieth % ile for historical rolling periods, the equity risk preme was seven point four% on average. At the tenth per centile, it was two%. That's using rolling historical periogs, which maintains any mean reversion that did exist in the historical data. And again, do we want o bet on past mean reversion repeating because of how well the us? Did? I don't know. As good to say, it's a heck of a band.

00:00

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode