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Economic Policy Decisions and Market Risks
The chapter explores the implications of lower inflation on the financial system and the role of real interest rates in economic policy decisions. It discusses concerns about a potential US recession, the unique situation of the 2023 recession in the US, challenges in timing fiscal spending, and compares the US economic performance with other G7 countries. Additionally, there's a focus on the market risks arising from the disconnect between strong stock market performance and tight credit spreads, troubling trends in the economy such as declining wages for many workers, and the widening wealth gap.