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Another Forgotten War: America’s Experience in Afghanistan

Irregular Warfare Podcast

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The Importance of Overconfidence

We often will overvalue our interests in the beginning. Over confidence can feed mission creep and we should be wary of that. In defence of all the intail analysts, you know, who got accused last year of not being not predicting things within 11 days? Do you expect people to predict the future within 11 days on? That seems to me to be horribly unfair. Our leaders need to operate in an environment of uncertainty and operate with judgment through that o. Not expecting tell analists to tell them exactly when somethingis going to happen. Had we alline our options against that.

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