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Naval Ravikant on How to Build Judgement

Smart Friends

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Ignore the Noise the Market Will Decide Principal Agent Problem

Mental models are compact ways for you to recall your own knowledge. Evolution, thermo dynamic information theory and complexity have explanatory and predictive power in many aspects of life. I believe we are fundamentally norant and very, very bad at predicting the future. Being successful is just about not making mistakes. It's about avoiding incorrect judgments.

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