Effective Altruism: Ten Global Problems – 80,000 Hours (October 2021) cover image

Nine: Dave Denkenberger on feeding the world through catastrophes

Effective Altruism: Ten Global Problems – 80,000 Hours (October 2021)

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The Probability of a Nuclear War Is a Good Thing

Nuclear war has only been used once in the last 73 years. The odds of it happening again are about one in eight per year, according to a new study. But there could be an accidental detonation that could escalate into full-scale nuclear war. If this were true, what's the probability remaining in the 20 first century? And if you use the means, it's very high.

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