4min chapter

Effective Altruism: Ten Global Problems – 80000 Hours cover image

Nine: Dave Denkenberger on feeding the world through catastrophes

Effective Altruism: Ten Global Problems – 80000 Hours

CHAPTER

The Probability of a Nuclear War Is a Good Thing

Nuclear war has only been used once in the last 73 years. The odds of it happening again are about one in eight per year, according to a new study. But there could be an accidental detonation that could escalate into full-scale nuclear war. If this were true, what's the probability remaining in the 20 first century? And if you use the means, it's very high.

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