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32: The Art of Thinking Clearly by Rolf Dobelli

Bookworm

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The Planning Fallacy

The planning fallacy is where we tend to underestimate how long projects are going to take. And because our mind doesn't work that way, we just expect the probability of its happening that many times in a row has to be different on the next roll. The point behind this one is that there really is no learning curve for us when it comes to planning.

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