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This week we're going to be talking about tail risks and tail opportunities. In a normal probability distribution, it looks like most of the observations converge around the mean. As you go along the distribution, you start to get to the tails, which are basically the ends of the distribution. And i think typically when people are talking about tals or tail risk, they're alking about any event that is more than three standard deviations outside of the mean.

In this episode, Cal and Steph discuss the hidden side of risk: the infrequent, often unpredictable events that make the biggest differences in our lives.

If you look around, rare, high-impact events are everywhere.

A small number of days in the stock market drive the bulk of the returns.
Large businesses like Google, Amazon, and Best Buy have tested thousands of products, yet have a single profit puppy.
Insurance companies make money on most customers, but have to pay out very large claims to a few people.
A handful of people have had more of an effect on the future than the other 7 billion people combined.

This episode is all about navigating tail risk and tail opportunity. You'll learn how to better avoid the catastrophic events in life, and on the flip side, to take advantage of the life-enhancing opportunities with asymmetric upside.

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