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29 // Thinking in probabilities with Taimur Abdaal

Metamuse

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Using a Basion Theory of Probability in Real Life

i'm curious as to how you guys personally think about how much to trust numbers. I found that for myself, i'm just very skeptical of any numbers that anyone tries to throw at me. And im usually more convinced by a theory or an argument that i find highly plausible than by some one trying to convince me of something using data. Where do you is form that spectryan like, in what context do you trust numbers that people throw at you?

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