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The Fed Funds Rate and the 10-Year Government Bond Yield
A typical 30-year mortgage rate is very much tied to 10-year government bonds. As investors believe the Federal Reserve will stop raising its short-term policy rate, that starts to get reflected in longer-term interest rates. If you look at the yield curve in the US, it's essentially flat and slightly inverted but almost close to 3% from one year out to 30 years.
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