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Omar Aguilar and Sébastien Page: Market Outlook for 2024 and Beyond

The Long View

CHAPTER

Economic Forecasting Challenges

This chapter explores the difficulties in accurately forecasting economic conditions amid recent inflation trends and unexpected market behaviors. It discusses the Federal Reserve's strategies, the dynamics of inflation and interest rates, and the current state of the labor market. The conversation highlights consumer behavior disparities and the resilience of the housing market despite rising rates, along with implications for future economic outlooks.

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