Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg cover image

Estimating the long-term impact of our actions today (with Will MacAskill)

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

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Navigating Long-termism and Decision-making

This chapter delves into the complexities of long-termism, examining how present actions may affect the future of humanity while confronting risks like extinction and AI impacts. It advocates for a nuanced decision-making approach that balances quantitative and qualitative assessments, acknowledging the limitations of formal models such as Bayesian reasoning. The chapter emphasizes the importance of diversifying investments in various causes to account for uncertainties and unforeseen benefits.

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