The Black Swan

Tolstoy is basically saying the further we get away from any event in history the more inevitable it seems. The present is never really inevitable but because of a failure of imagination right which is something deeply linking Buddhist dependent origination to Shopenhauer's division and finally what we're going to talk about like at some point which is how the experimental science is reasoned versus the historical sciences. What does it mean to have knowledge from physics versus knowledge you know about let's say the Big Bang or something like that?