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Managing Uncertainty: The Scenario Shell Game - Ep106: László Varró

Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change

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What Is the Key Story of the Shell Scenarios?

"We're starting to talk about scenarios without having yet properly talked about scenarios," he says. "To get, and I don't know what there is in Israel and South Korea, what is the percentage consensus that there is a true and immediate threat worth spending 3%, 4% extra of your GDP?" He adds: We are so far from 80% or 90% of the population agreeing that there's a climate crisis worth $200 billion a year for no co-benefits.

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