4min chapter

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Managing Uncertainty: The Scenario Shell Game - Ep106: László Varró

Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change

CHAPTER

What Is the Key Story of the Shell Scenarios?

"We're starting to talk about scenarios without having yet properly talked about scenarios," he says. "To get, and I don't know what there is in Israel and South Korea, what is the percentage consensus that there is a true and immediate threat worth spending 3%, 4% extra of your GDP?" He adds: We are so far from 80% or 90% of the population agreeing that there's a climate crisis worth $200 billion a year for no co-benefits.

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