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Ep.86 Do we have adequate models of accident causation?

The Safety of Work

CHAPTER

The Probability of Falling Into a Trench

Rasmauson: On working beside an excavationor or a trench, anim completely unprotected, i've probably still only got about a one in a ten thousand chance of falling in that trench. If i then put a barricade around it, i might have moved an order of magnitude away. And so we talk about la's protection, i can very quickly get my risk probablistically to lack o one in a million chance. Now, more likely than not, at the time when you fell in, some of those factors that were driving the probability up were present. But that's not the question that rasmauson wants us to ask, is not, why were this particular

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