Risky Business
Hi-Phi Nation
Defendants of Merely Statistical Evidence
Oxford University professor argues that individualized evidence makes something likely and normally true. But what it means to be normal is still a mystery, he says. In this case, there was just 80% of the taxis on the road were red. And so in that sense, arguably, it was probably a red taxi. Well, now suppose it was a non-red taxi. It was a green taxi. There's nothing to be explained. You win some, you lose some. That's the kind of epistemic weakness of merely statistical evidence.
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