Banks are insolvent. They've lost more than their capital base. And er and aing city bank had one dollar share. Now do you think that they were? The thing that fascinates me about this, and there was an article in new york times, sunday magazine by jono sarah on value at risk. You were quoted in quite a bit, and clearly influenced thinking. It's not just a the option value has nothing o s they'v lost everything. But even if you have masse, the negative, expected return, which turned out to be at the expected return from banks.
Nassim Taleb talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the financial crisis, how we misunderstand rare events, the fragility of the banking system, the moral hazard of government bailouts, the unprecedented nature of really, really bad events, the contribution of human psychology to misinterpreting probability and the dangers of hubris. The conversation closes with a discussion of religion and probability.