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2min chapter
Measuring everything that matters (with Doug Hubbard)
Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg
The Importance of Probabilistic Calibration for Future Decision-Making
This chapter emphasizes the value of probabilistic calibration for individuals, even if they are not currently in roles requiring uncertainty-based decision-making. It addresses the challenges of overconfidence in estimates and the potential future implications for those affected by such decisions.
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