Luke's risk-off nudges and sells

The smart money is moving, are you? In this episode, we break down why legends like Michael Burry and Peter Thiel are exiting the hottest trade in history, and what the Genius Group lawsuit reveals about the dark side of Wall Street.

💣 The Smart Money Exodus: Is the AI mega-bubble popping? Michael Burry has over $1 billion in put options on Nvidia. Peter Thiel sold his entire stake. SoftBank dumped $6 billion. We analyze what these massive exit signals mean for retail traders.

💰 The CapEx Black Hole: Big Tech is burning trillions on AI infrastructure, but will the math ever add up? We explore the dangers of rapid hardware depreciation, chip degradation, and the terrifying possibility that the returns will never justify the spend.

🌏 The Geopolitical Floor: Why the US-China arms race might be the only thing stopping the crash. When AI becomes an existential threat, do normal market valuation rules even apply?

📊 Portfolio Wars: The hosts diverge! Luke goes "Risk-Off," slashing Alphabet and Palantir to raise cash to 21%. Krzysztof goes "Risk-On," doubling down on data center plays like IREN Energy. Whose strategy will win? $GOOGL $PLTR $IREN

⚡ The Data Center Survival Guide: If the bubble bursts, who survives? Krzysztof breaks down why he is betting on top-tier infrastructure with locked-in AWS/Microsoft contracts while dumping the second-tier players.

🎮 GameStop 2.0 (The GNS Saga): Genius Group files a massive lawsuit against Citadel and Virtu, alleging systematic naked shorting. Is this the spark for the next massive retail rebellion against market manipulation? $GNS $GME

🛡️ Bulletproofing Your Wealth: Essential strategies for the coming volatility: distinguishing price from value, ignoring manufactured panic, and keeping your head when the VIX spikes.

🎭 Investing Lessons from Cinema: We analyze PT Anderson’s latest film to extract a critical lesson for this market: why rigid convictions kill portfolios and how the best investors adapt when reality shifts.

Segments:

00:00:00 Introduction - Superinvestors Making Big Moves

00:01:00 One Battle After Another

00:05:00 Having a Process to Improve Your Process

00:09:00 AI Bubble Headlines: Burry, Thiel, SoftBank

00:12:00 Market Manipulation and Retail Psychology

00:17:50 The Bear Case: Unsustainable CapEx Spending

00:23:45 Will AI Generate Enough Economic Value?

00:27:00 The Race to AGI and Winner-Takes-All

00:34:50 China's AI Advantage and US Response

00:42:00 Geopolitical Implications of AI Investment

00:47:00 What Are We Doing In Our Portfolios?

00:50:00 Luke is Going Risk-Off with Alphabet, Palantir, ASML, Snowflake

00:56:20 Krzysztof's Risk-On Strategy with Data Centers

01:00:00 Price vs Value: Taking Advantage of Volatility

01:02:30 GameStop 2.0: The Genius Group Lawsuit $GNS

01:09:30 Payment for Order Flow and Market Structure

01:12:30 Ghost Hotdogs

01:13:30 Black Friday Deals: Fiscal AI & Portseido

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Disclosure: Wall Street Wildlife hosts and guests are not financial advisors, and nothing they say on this show is formal advice or a recommendation

Keywords:

Michael Burry Nvidia, Peter Thiel Sold Nvidia, AI Bubble 2025, Stock Market Crash Prediction, Nvidia Stock Analysis, Genius Group Lawsuit, GNS Stock, Naked Shorting, Citadel Securities, Data Center Stocks, Palantir Analysis, Cipher