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Option Dealer Flows, Inflation and Investing in a Changing World with Cem Karsan

Excess Returns

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The Importance of Thinking Probablistically

Most people call options a derivative. But mathematically, if you think about what options are, ther actuy is a representation of the full distribution of any one acets outcomes. I would argue there's no reason to trade stockor or bonds, or anything ever,. Because you are much better suited to trade the specific part of the distribution that you want to bet on. And we really need to think about probabilities or betting. That's how we should all be looking at mark in thinking about the world.

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