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SI217: Finding the Optimal Trend Following Allocation ft. Rob Carver

Top Traders Unplugged

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How to Optimize a 60-40 Portfolio

I don't think it's reasonable to use this historic period kind of without any sort of adjustment or consideration for the fact that we'd have this secular trends. And as a result, equity, equity is being rerated as well. The PE ratio in September 22 and the SBIF 500 was about nine. That works out to an average annual return of 2% a year in equities coming from this re-rating effect. If I do a similar thing with US 10 year, I get a lower number. But because they're less volatile, that's actually more significant component of the returns.

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