Political Forecasts and Media Influence in Virginia Elections

With August about to begin the long-time Virginia election watchers say that this is when “it gets real.” The Washington Examiner just published election predictions made by the organization State Navigate that reported that by their estimates each Democrat candidate would win the statewide races by a minimum of 8 percent and that Lt Gov Winsome Sears would lose by 11. Moreover, they predict that the Democratic party will flip 7 seats in the House of Delegates. Flipping it to a GOP majority had been a key effort of the Republican Party leadership so that they could block the “Day Of” Abortion constitutional amendment.

We sat down with one leader that is spending his time and campaign contributions on other candidates this year, Tom Garrett of Virginia’s 56th district (Fluvanna, Louisa, Goochland) and asked him if the race had really turned so badly.

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