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How Immigration Shapes American Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics

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The Political Impact of Immigrants in America

When counties in America receive low-skilled immigrants on average, the vote share for the Republican Party goes up. And when they receive high-skilled immigrants, the voteshare for the Democratic Party goes down. Many of the states that ended up going for Trump in the 2016 election were states where the share of low-skilled migrants had increased and according to our paper, did increasing lead to higher voting shares for the GOP.

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