Luis Orais' Expected Batting Average Is Lower Than His Actual Batting Average

The expected batting average model does not quite work for Luis Orais, the way that it works for most people. He actually does have this preternatural ability to- Right. There's actual skill here. If you're putting the ball in play as much as Arise does, he's giving himself an opportunity to benefit from the vagaries of the batted ball. And sometimes, oftentimes, those will break in the fielder's favor, but not always.