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Liz Ann Sonders: Navigating a New ‘Temperamental Era’ in Markets

The Long View

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The Fed's Predictions of a Recession

I think parts of the economy already have. We've been using the term rolling recession or rolling recessions to describe the unique nature of this cycle and it goes all the way back to 2020. When we had the COVID recession we were in lockdown mode massive stimulus kicked in causing a surge in demand but all that demand fueled by stimulus was forced to be funneled into the good side of the economy because services were shut down. That's also where the breeding ground of inflation began exacerbated by the supply chain problems. So when I think about recession versus no recession I do ultimately think we'll get an officially declared recession but the NBR they're way after the fact.

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