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Keeping it Simple | Ep. 20: Secular, Cyclical... it's all a fubar fugazi!

Keeping it Simple with Simplify Asset Management

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Is the Stock Market in a Recession?

The stock market is becoming a lagging indicator effectively it's much more closely tied to the employment cycle now have been almost anything else. There aren't too many examples actually of the unemployment rate un revised rising sharply four or five six months ahead of a recession. You're looking at something like one to two months of lead time ahead of recessionary periods. And this is true of all coincident indicators.

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