#122 - Methodologies for Analysis (with Christopher Crowley)
CISO Tradecraft®
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The Importance of Refining the Matrix
Howard Kurtz: How do we score hypotheses? We take and collect the data. We then use the data to score, if you will, the hypotheses upon does this hypothesis account for this? Does it account for it extraordinarily well? Do it could happen? Or no, that's not. And although I mentioned the zero or negative infinity, zero may be more powerful because you might say, no, this hypothesis or this data doesn't account for this hypothesis but it doesn't necessarily totally disqualify it. Yes. Exactly. Think about reporting this where you can actually now articulate your confidence in a specific explanation and also express your confidence in other explanations which you have considered. This is exactly what
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