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2 – What is this “Sanity Waterline” you speak of?

The Bayesian Conspiracy

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The Importance of Bayesian Thinking in Religion

Before I was thinking very much black and white truth or false. Once I lost my religion and started thinking more empirically it made life a lot easier to approach when you admit that your view is uncertain but you get it as certain as you can. We do all have examples in our lives of times that we transfer knowledge or what we've learned about rationality or even another subject maybe statisticsmaybe something else where we transfer that to something else in our lives to our benefit. But I think that what we're lacking is general transference general and measurable transference that's not you know largely anecdotal, he says.

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