Bonus: Preventing an AI-Related Catastrophe
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Artificial Intelligence Scaling Hypothesis
Survey of 300 AI experts suggests 20% probability of human level machine intelligence by 2036. Other methods of predicting AI progress come to similar conclusions. It's difficult to predict exactly when we will develop AI that we expect to be hugely transformative for society, for better or worse. For example, by automating all human work or drastically changing the structure of society.
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