This year has been the most difficult year of my career, worse than 0809. The only thing that worked this year was energy - it's almost 50%. If our forecasts for electric vehicles and autonomous taxi platforms are correct, then oil demand could drop by roughly 30%, 30 million barrels a day during the next five to 10 years. We believe that demand destruction has already started. It looks like oil demand peaked in 2019. But we think the resolution of that basing period here is going to be down.
On this episode of the For Your Innovation podcast, we feature a special year-end episode of “In the Know” with ARK CEO/CIO, Cathie Wood. In the episode she answers investor questions ranging in topics including general market conditions, inflation, deflation, corporate earnings, interest rates, disruptive innovation, ARK’s investment process, supply-chain, and the outlook for 2023. As always, she discusses fiscal policy, monetary policy, market signals, economic indicators, and innovation.
Specific questions Cathie addresses during the episode:
- Please share your thoughts on the 2022 market.
- What is your market outlook for 2023 including the impact of innovation?
- Given ARK’s strategies have fallen >70% from their peak in February 2021, why don’t you turn defensive as most managers would do?
- You have been buying more Tesla and other stocks during the downturn. However, the stocks that you have increased your purchases have fallen further, and the overall decline in performance has accelerated. With interest rates and prices fluctuating so widely, will an investment focus on innovation work?
- Investors appear hesitant to invest now for long-term growth, given the supply chain disruptions and the expected economic downturn due to rising interest rates. Why do you believe that now is a once-in-a-century investment opportunity?
To watch the video version of In The Know, click here.