THINKING, FAST & SLOW (DANIEL KAHNEMAN) - Listening books
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The Intense Matching of Predictions in Officer School
During his military service in the Israeli Defense Forces, I spent some time attached to a unit that selected candidates for officer training on the basis of interviews and field tests. The designated criterion for successful prediction was a cadet's final grade in officer school. Officers who provided the predictions completely failed to discriminate between two tasks. They had simply translated their own grades onto the scale used in officer school using intensity matching.
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