Are We Going to Go Into a Recession?

The key question is basic, are we going to go into a recession? You know, we've been arguing for some time that the outlook looks pretty binery. We would get down to about 36 50. We are kind of almost there already. Recessions are pretty nonlinear events,. It's really about corporates becoming risk overse not great, you know, signs yet, but you take a look at a seo confidence, it's down. But inke e conference, dont too. Just rell quick here. I'm struggling here with this idea that we're going to get earnings down grades. What gets us there?