FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

Does It Matter If King Charles Is Popular?

FiveThirtyEight Politics

The Relationship Between Presidential Election Turnout and Midterm Turnout

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Amelia: I think as we get new data like this, because we're this election is already behind us and so no one cares anymore. The three demographic groups that we just talked about are groups that are highly democratic voting in 2018 was a big democratic turnout year. So important to think about that context when we're thinking about the 2022 numbers. Gailin Drew Tony Chow: You're basically guaranteed higher turnout or presidential election because of the stakes and the high profile nature of that office.

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