Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova cover image

Does Nate Trust His Model? Debates, Prediction Markets and Poker

Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova

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Forecasts and Poker: Predictions in Play

This chapter explores the reliability of prediction markets in electoral forecasts, discussing the balance between personal biases and objective models. It then shifts to an engaging discussion about a new poker format, Mystery Bounty, revealing how it enhances gameplay and prize structures.

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