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It's Lonely On Disinflation Island 

The Macro Trading Floor

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Investing in the Global Economy

The global economy can work with interest rates much higher because something that's structurally changed. So this is the timing consistency issue of having to navigate short of narratives against medium term macro trends. The rebound for the economy is very much driven by these technicalities surrounding inflation leading to an upbeat consumer in the beginning of the year while you should expect the consumer to be extremely downbeat towards the end of the year. And I think the seasonality from a macro perspective is worth playing.

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