AI Timelines and Human Psychology (with Sarah Hastings-Woodhouse)
Future of Life Institute Podcast
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The Future of AI Models and AGI Timelines
This chapter explores the sustainability of training larger AI models and the varying expert opinions on the timeline for achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI). It raises concerns about the influence of social dynamics on prediction accuracy and emphasizes the need for a proactive approach to prepare for imminent AGI scenarios. The discussion also addresses unexpected advancements in AI and how they challenge prior safety concerns, underscoring the importance of managing expectations in the face of uncertainty.
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