Introduction

The i m d, or the indian meteorological department, makes formal predictions about monsoon and other ther events. They help farmers and civilians better prepare for what's coming. But they don't always get it right. For instance, consider this year's predictions made specifically for karala. I m d was expecting the monsoons to arrive early on may 20 vent - based on historical trends, this would have been the quickest in five years. Even skymet, a private weather forecasting company, had predicted monsoons but then the monsoon never arrived. And while in the grand scheme of things, two days might not seem massive, it is significant, especially considering