4min chapter

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Why Is the Recession Taking So Long to Show Up? | Bob Elliott

Hidden Forces

CHAPTER

The Fed's Transitory Narrative on Inflation

How do we know that they were quote wrong on the transitory narrative and not just really early on it? Like so many other people have been calling the recession early. How much of the downward trending movement that we've seen started to see an inflation was going to happen anyway, regardless of Fed policy? And furthermore, how much stock should we really be putting in some of these lagging indicators that the Fed looks at rather than many of the leading indicators, which have been pointing and increasing towards recession?

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