4min chapter

FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

Are Millennials Getting More Conservative?

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

The Importance of Donald Trump's Campaigning

I think this message of Donald Trump is not the winner you think he is, is the only thing that has a chance of sticking. There was a moment after the midterms when the shields were down and no one took a swing at him. And so the shields are back up now. I want to take a step back for a second and ask like, who are Republican primary voters? The electorate can be a very small, very interesting thing that may behave quite differently from a general electorate.

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